While McKinsey spins a positive take on the potential for growth in Chinese consumer spending, foreign businesses in the consumer luxury space respond in the negative.
When Eric Douilhet opened China's first Paul Smith and Moschino fashion boutiques in 2002, he didn't expect they'd be making money by now. He didn't think they'd be losing this much, either.
``I was definitely expecting sales to be higher, the losses to be smaller,'' says Douilhet, 43, president of Bluebell (Asia) Ltd., which also operates Jaeger clothing and Davidoff cigar stores in China. ``People are too optimistic about China.'' He declined to quantify the losses.
We find this extremely interesting, considering that it has recently been reported in the Taiwanese press that over half of the largest 250 Taiwanese entreprises in China are barely profitable.
調查指出，國內前兩百五十大集團，大陸投資佈局呈現「三高兩低」！投資金額高、營收規模高、負債比率高，不過，平均稅後純益低、平均純益率低；將近五成虧損，平均每家純益率只有百分之二點零五。
Which idea do you buy into - a future Fort Knox or a grinding money-pit? Perhaps both are fundamentally correct. The snail's paced growth of a consumer market in China does not necessarily dovetail with one's hopes for a consistently profitable revenue stream.
数据挖掘研究院
As we have stated consistently over many years, investment in China must be approached skeptically. Expect less where more seems possible. Temper enthusiasm with caution.
